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CRISIS AGAINST THE EPIPHANY

"Italy will come out sooner and better the economic crisis. No one will be left behind. "

He promised Silvio Berlusconi in the most critical period of 2009, and this commitment has been maintained.

The year 2010 certainly opens with a critical situation on the employment front, but with infinitely better prospect for recovery, the future development (which is what most matters to us), finance public. And especially for social cohesion, a good that we put at the center of our thoughts.

not tell us. This is shown all major international and national bodies. According to the OECD Italy, in passing from the crisis, is ahead of Germany, the United States and the euro area. The OECD for Italy explicitly speaks of "expansion", much more than a recovery. Our index is above 105 percent - where 100 is flat economy - while the European average is less than 105. Germany stands at 103, and the United States under 100.

"The government has acted well and wisely," he acknowledged Mario Draghi, governor of Bank of Italy. "Now we must act on the front of the welfare and tax.

What exactly are the two reforms made on site by Maurizio Sacconi and Giulio Tremonti. "We will hand the whole system of social safety nets," said Welfare Minister. As the head of economics, set out the foundations of future tax reform: "It priviligeranno the family, people, work, business, environment. On the contrary, speculation and pollution discounted penalty ":

The government, with Tremonti, has already brought home an important reform. The Finance Bill, the scene of raids and attacks to the diligence of public funds, is gone, replaced by the Budget Act and challenging three-year operations for the accounts of the state. Pèarticolari situations where action was needed to - in 2009 was done several times - we act with targeted measures.

The final financial approval on December 22 in the Senate is divided on support for employment, the pact with the regions in health, cuts in the seats in local bodies, on the banks of the South, on school funding, research and law enforcement. These are all areas strategic. The rain of billions easy for the customers back is gone.

This leads Italy in the group of virtuous countries of the European Union. Our debt remains high (in 2010 the 116 per cent of GDP, the result of past policy of spendthrift), but the country has been incorporated since the last report in 2009 the European Central Bank among those at medium risk: together with Belgium, Germany , France, Luxembourg and the Netherlands. Countries, incidentally, that all have a rating of triple A (Italy has an A + report card, also inherited from the past). The only country risk is low Finland. While appearing were economic and social models - such as Spain, Ireland, Greece, Portugal and even Britain - are now considered at high risk.

Remember Berlusconi's call to trust, not fear to invest in the securities of our large companies, Eni Enel? Well, business confidence has increased by twenty points at the end of 2009, the consumer, re-washed by ISAE, is also growing. The vast majority of households in 2010 believes that their situation will be stable or improved, a reversal of a years ago. And who has listened to Prime Minister on investment, can claim to have done a good deal: these titles are from the low double-digit growth in 2009, the coupons that are distributed among the richest of the list.

And to think that then there were those who called Berlusconi a "magician", a kind of optimism salesman!

not all. The Centro Studi Confindustria estimated that GDP will grow by at least 1 in 2010, 1 percent (a figure which compares with declines of 4.7 in 2009), and in 2011, 1, 3. Families will resume consuming: 0.8 more in 2010, more than 1.3 in 2011. The investment will increase respectively by 1, 4 and 2.7 per cent. And made in Italy to pull resumes: more than 4 percent of exports in 2010 and 4.2 more in 2011, compared to the decrease of 19 percent in 2009, preceded by a similar decrease of 3.7 in 2008.

This overall means one thing: the economy is already reversed course, the measures adopted last year by the government have worked and put Italy away from worse problems. The loss of jobs is painful, but well below what we have seen abroad. Anyway, the unemployed, workers in cash integration and for the first time the precarious could go forward with public subsidies, including such extraordinary decision by the government.

All this happened without tapping a single euro to households and businesses. This year the tax burden will decline, and even more significantly when they come to the regime of fiscal federalism and tax reform.

And speaking of taxes, the government has shown that a serious fight against tax evasion do not harass workers and private citizens, but by the funds come from abroad - the shield has already yielded 95 billion which will strengthen our economy, and some other ten will be added with two extensions - and flush out smart. Eight billion recovered in this way (in addition to the tax shield) is a record that the left can only envy. With all due respect to many common places.

If 2010 was the year of hope and nerves, the 2010 is the year of recovery, confidence and work. Pull the economy will, as always, the fabric of small and medium-sized manufacturing enterprises, and the revival of the great works. This is a merit of the government, and a true act of courage was having believed even at the worst time.

As an act of faith - but be careful, reasoned - is believed to have Berlusconi in Italy by the system: individuals, families, small businesses, unions, Confindustria, large groups such as the ' Eni, Enel, Finmeccanica , Fiat.

add a small but significant fact: the 2009 has seen a 60 percent decrease in the duration of the strike. And this in a year of crisis, which could expose us to serious tensions.

The country, once again, believe it. Behold, this and social cohesion.